Our co-founder Phil Tetlock wrote the book on state‑of‑the‑art crowd‑sourced forecasting.
Now the training, techniques and talent that helped the Good Judgment Project
win a massive four‑year US‑government‑sponsored forecasting tournament can help your organization manage strategic uncertainty.
Our forecasting services provide insight into complex global challenges.Robust probability forecasts pave the way for decisive action.
Participate in our public forecasting tournament
and improve your power of prediction.
THE SCIENCE OF SUPERFORECASTING
Our services are based on peer‑reviewed research using randomized controlled trials, the scientific "gold standard."
GJ co-founder Phil Tetlock's New York Times bestseller Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction is now available in paperback in the US. The Wall Street Journal called Superforecasting the "most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow."
GJ’s Eva Chen Wins Exeter Prize
GJ Managing Director Eva Chen and co-author David Budescu of Fordham University are this year's recipients of the Exeter Prize for their research on scoring methods for crowd-sourced forecasts. The Exeter Prize is awarded by the University of Exeter to the best paper published in the previous calendar year in a peer-reviewed journal in the fields of Experimental Economics, Decision Theory and Behavioral Economics.
The World in 2017
Good Judgment Inc is pleased to announce a second year-long partnership with The Economist to launch the “World in 2017” Forecasting Challenge on Good Judgment Open. At gjopen.com/economist, forecasters can interact with the stories highlighted in The Economist’s “World in 2017” issue. As The Economist’s writers, artists, economists, and great minds make predictions for the world in 2017, so too can participants on Good Judgment Open.