Dude, Where’s My Car? SCOTUS Could Finish Incorporating the Eighth Amendment

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Opinion “Excessive bail shall not be required, nor excessive fines imposed, nor cruel and unusual punishments inflicted.” – VIII Amendment Mr. Tyson Timbs found himself in an all-too-familiar story probably seen by nearly every district attorney in the country. After the defendant in this case pleaded guilty to two felonies related to selling drugs. On top of […]

Doubling Down Is Quite a Gamble: Separate Sovereigns and Double Jeopardy

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Opinion by Ryan Adler In what may be the more straightforward constitutional question to come before the Court in recent memory, the Justices will be wrangling with a peculiar tension between federalism and the Fifth Amendment’s bar against double jeopardy (“No person shall…be subject for the same offense to be twice put in jeopardy of life or […]

Tom Mahoney, CFA, CAIA

A Q&A with Tom Mahoney, Chartered Financial Analyst and Board Member of the CFA Society of Los Angeles

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By Ryan Adler Tom Mahoney, CFA, CAIA, is a Private Wealth Advisor with UBS. He is a Chartered Financial Analyst® (CFA®) charterholder and is co-chair of the Private Wealth Management Committee and member of the Board of Governors of the CFA Society of Los Angeles. He is a Chartered Alternative Investment Analyst SM (CAIA®) and […]

Early Warning Project Question Resolutions: July 1, 2017-June 30, 2018

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GJO Closing July 1 2017-June 30 2018 By Mollie Zapata, Simon-Skjodt Center for the Prevention of Genocide The Early Warning Project asked, “Between 1 July 2017 and 30 June 2018, will an armed group from [Country] engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in [Country]?” for 17 countries we determined to […]

A Quick Look Back at the Crowd Looking Forward

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Opinion by Ryan Adler Ryan Adler is a Superforecaster and Senior Consultant for Good Judgment who specializes in legal analysis for Good Judgment’s question writing team. He also administers the SCOTUS Challenge on Good Judgment Open, a collaboration between SCOTUSblog and Good Judgment that facilitates probabilistic thinking about court decisions. Ryan can be reached at adler@goodjudgment.com. Before we kicked […]

Janus v. AFSCME: Last, But Certainly Not Least

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Opinion by Ryan Adler Ryan Adler is a Superforecaster and Senior Consultant for Good Judgment who specializes in legal analysis for Good Judgment’s question writing team. He also administers the SCOTUS Challenge on Good Judgment Open, a collaboration between SCOTUSblog and Good Judgment that facilitates probabilistic thinking about court decisions. Ryan can be reached at […]

Trump & NIFLA: The First Amendment and the Crowd’s One-Two Punch

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Opinion by Ryan Adler Ryan Adler is a Superforecaster and Senior Consultant for Good Judgment who specializes in legal analysis for Good Judgment’s question writing team. He also administers the SCOTUS Challenge on Good Judgment Open, a collaboration between SCOTUSblog and Good Judgment that facilitates probabilistic thinking about court decisions. Ryan can be reached at […]

TGIF: One Big Hit and One Perplexing Tie

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Opinion by Ryan Adler Ryan Adler is a Superforecaster and Senior Consultant for Good Judgment who specializes in legal analysis for Good Judgment’s question writing team. He also administers the SCOTUS Challenge on Good Judgment Open, a collaboration between SCOTUSblog and Good Judgment that facilitates probabilistic thinking about court decisions. Ryan can be reached at […]