Philip Tetlock and Dan Gardner in The Economist on “Keeping Score”

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“[S]uperforecasting takes practice … Others besides America’s intelligence agencies are taking note. From Wall Street to Silicon Valley, executives are starting to ask how good their forecasting really is and whether it could be better. UBS, a bank, has even launched its own internal forecasting tournament. As more people get serious about forecasting in 2016, the probability is high that their forecasting will improve—and so will their decision-making.”

Philip Tetlock and Dan Gardner, The Economist, November 2, 2015

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