The Wharton Journal on “A book review and a love letter”

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“Written by Penn’s own genius prognosticator Phil Tetlock, the work is chock full of lessons on prediction…. Of Tetlock’s thousands of novices, 2% stuck out as highly and consistently accurate. He deems these people ‘superforecasters’, and attempts to glean lessons from them. What he learns then recommends seems intuitive – break down an issue into discrete parts, think probabilistically, minimize internal biases and utilize data and logic, keep a record or your predictions and review for lessons learned, etc.”

Matt McGuire, The Wharton Journal, April 13, 2016

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