Paul Schoemaker and Phil Tetlock in the Harvard Business Review on “Superforecasting: How to Upgrade Your Company’s Judgment”

Posted on Posted in Publications

“The sweet spot that companies should focus on is forecasts for which some data, logic, and analysis can be used but seasoned judgment and careful questioning also play key roles. … On the basis of our research and consulting experience, we have identified a set of practices that leaders can apply to improve their firms’ judgment in this middle ground. Our recommendations focus on improving individuals’ forecasting ability through training; using teams to boost accuracy; and tracking prediction performance and providing rapid feedback. The general approaches we describe should of course be tailored to each organization and evolve as the firm learns what works in which circumstances.”

Paul J. H. Schoemaker and Philip E. Tetlock, Harvard Business Review, May 2016

Share on FacebookTweet about this on TwitterShare on LinkedInEmail this to someone

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *