Justin Burke in The Australian on “Superior forecasters draw their successes from ashes of failure”

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“The book continues to turn up in all sorts of interesting places… Recently, Harvard historian and public intellectual Niall Ferguson cited Tetlock’s work to a Sydney Opera House audience, in response to a question from the audience about the accuracy of charismatic pundits in the media. Ferguson went on to say: ‘I have established a practice of ­assessing every prediction that I make, what I’ve learned; one must be extremely rigorous about what one got wrong … I’ve become much more formal about it’.”

Justin Burke, The Australian, July 9, 2016

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