Susan Pinker in The Globe and Mail on “In a world filled with surprises, can we predict the future?”

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“Given the competitive streak that typified superforecasters, I was surprised to learn that forecasters working in teams beat the solo predictors by a long shot. But it was not only the working conditions that allowed predictors to thrive. More than anything else, it was the mindset. The ‘supers’ had a willingness to update their beliefs constantly as new data rolled in. That openness was the strongest ingredient in accurate predictions – which makes these superforecasters not like pundits at all.”

Susan Pinker, The Globe and Mail, July 16, 2016

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