CFA LA Challenge Forecasters Put Low Odds of a Bear Market in U.S. Stocks

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by Warren Hatch President, Good Judgment Inc In a new collaboration, Good Judgment and the CFA Society Los Angeles have joined forces to launch a forecasting challenge on Good Judgment Open. Nearly a thousand forecasters have already picked up the gauntlet to forecast on finance and economics questions that range from interest rates to tax […]

New Challenges and Post-Mortems

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LAUNCHING THE “STATE OF THE UNION” CHALLENGE A lot is happening on Good Judgment Open this week. We are wrapping the “First 100 Days” Challenge and launching the “State of the Union” forecasting challenge sponsored by the Washington Post’s Monkey Cage blog. “State of the Union” will offer a battery of questions on the major […]

Try Your Hand at Forecasting Finance and Economic Questions

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Good Judgment Inc (GJI) and the CFA Society Los Angeles are launching an exciting new partnership for the members of CFA Society Los Angeles, the wider global CFA community, and those interested in becoming better forecasters in the world of economics and finance. CFA charterholders and other interested parties will have the opportunity to compete […]

How Trump is Changing Forecasters’ Minds

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The election of Donald Trump as the 45th President of the United States surprised many forecasters on GJ Open and around the world. After any forecasting surprise, an aspiring Superforecaster should reflect on why they might have been wrong, which signs they might have missed, and importantly, whether an event signals that they should update their beliefs about […]

“In the News” Challenge Launches on Good Judgment Open

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Good Judgment Inc is pleased to announce “In the News,” its new Forecasting Challenge on its crowdsourced forecasting platform, Good Judgment Open. The Challenge features questions plucked from the headlines, with topics ranging from politics, business, technology, sports, entertainment, and anything else trending in the media. One of the first timely forecasting opportunities in the […]

Numbers, Not Hype

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by Andrew Sabisky Mr. Sabisky is a forecaster on Good Judgment Open and a freelance writer. He has written extensively for the International Business Times – UK edition. Mr. Sabisky writes for the “Superforecasting in Action” blog to dive deeply into the perspective of an active GJ Open forecaster.  As Advent progresses, it seems correct, in this […]

Good Judgment Inc Joins Forces with The Economist to Present “The World in 2017 Forecasting Challenge”

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Good Judgment Inc is pleased to announce the launch of a forecasting challenge on its crowdsourced forecasting platform, Good Judgment Open, tied to The Economist’s World in 2017. The World in 2017, an annual collection of predictions, is a special edition of The Economist which identifies and explores the issues that will shape the year […]