Opinion While it’s no secret that lawyers tend to embrace the Twenty-first Amendment and the legalization of alcohol more than the average American, the repeal of Prohibition is not a topic oft found on the SCOTUS docket. However, Tennessee Wine & Spirits Retailers Association v. Blair is here to liven up the term. (Technically, Tenn. […]
Opinion “There is no recession. Despite all the doom and gloom from the economic pessimistas, the resilient U.S economy continues moving ahead “‘quarter after quarter, year after year’” defying dire forecasts and delivering positive growth. In fact, we are about to enter the seventh consecutive year of the Bush boom.“ – Larry Kudlow, December 7, 2007 […]
Opinion “Excessive bail shall not be required, nor excessive fines imposed, nor cruel and unusual punishments inflicted.” – VIII Amendment Mr. Tyson Timbs found himself in an all-too-familiar story probably seen by nearly every district attorney in the country. After the defendant in this case pleaded guilty to two felonies related to selling drugs. On top of […]
Opinion by Ryan Adler This past April 13th, while completing my evening routine of news reading, I came across a Squawk on the Street segment on CNBC (a staple in my house). Former Speaker of the House John Boehner appeared on the network and said, among other things: “Mark my words. Give it about six […]
Opinion by Ryan Adler In what may be the more straightforward constitutional question to come before the Court in recent memory, the Justices will be wrangling with a peculiar tension between federalism and the Fifth Amendment’s bar against double jeopardy (“No person shall…be subject for the same offense to be twice put in jeopardy of life or […]
By Ryan Adler Tom Mahoney, CFA, CAIA, is a Private Wealth Advisor with UBS. He is a Chartered Financial Analyst® (CFA®) charterholder and is co-chair of the Private Wealth Management Committee and member of the Board of Governors of the CFA Society of Los Angeles. He is a Chartered Alternative Investment Analyst SM (CAIA®) and […]
Opinion by Ryan Adler Greetings forecasters and Court watchers! With the first Monday in October fast approaching (which happens to be the first day of October this year), I am pleased to announce that the 2018 SCOTUS Challenge is now live! As with any new term, cases on the docket run the spectrum, and our […]
GJO Closing July 1 2017-June 30 2018 By Mollie Zapata, Simon-Skjodt Center for the Prevention of Genocide The Early Warning Project asked, “Between 1 July 2017 and 30 June 2018, will an armed group from [Country] engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in [Country]?” for 17 countries we determined to […]
Opinion by Ryan Adler Ryan Adler is a Superforecaster and Senior Consultant for Good Judgment who specializes in legal analysis for Good Judgment’s question writing team. He also administers the SCOTUS Challenge on Good Judgment Open, a collaboration between SCOTUSblog and Good Judgment that facilitates probabilistic thinking about court decisions. Ryan can be reached at adler@goodjudgment.com. Before we kicked […]
Opinion by Ryan Adler Ryan Adler is a Superforecaster and Senior Consultant for Good Judgment who specializes in legal analysis for Good Judgment’s question writing team. He also administers the SCOTUS Challenge on Good Judgment Open, a collaboration between SCOTUSblog and Good Judgment that facilitates probabilistic thinking about court decisions. Ryan can be reached at […]