Good Judgment Inc is pleased to announce that Tom Anzur has been named Chief Commercial Officer, effective immediately. Anzur brings over 20 years of experience to the role, having managed commercial teams globally in Chicago, Shanghai, London, and Singapore for Euromonitor International.
“Tom is the ideal person for this critical role at Good Judgment as we expand our services to more clients around the world,” said Warren Hatch, CEO of Good Judgment. “He combines a rigorous client focus with a successful track record of commercializing new innovations. We are all excited to have Tom on board as Good Judgment accelerates into a new stage of development.”
Paul R. La Monica, CNN Business (21 September 2020)
“Investors are trying to figure out what’s ahead for the stock market — much of which will depend on who’s elected US president. But it could be weeks or even months before one of the candidates concedes, according to new research.
“A team of ‘superforecasters’ — analysts with particularly good track records — for the firm Good Judgment think there’s only a 16% probability President Donald Trump or Joe Biden will concede by the end of election week, says CEO Warren Hatch, who shared data exclusively with CNN Business.”
Bryan Walsh, Axios Future (12 August 2020)
“The bottom line: We depend on experts who often have a vested interest in their predictions. Superforecasting offers an empirically grounded alternative at a moment when the future feels more uncertain than ever.”
Saloni Sardona, Entrepreneur (6 August 2020)
“The bank referred to forecasts from Good Judgment, a company that uses superforecasting, that predict a 10 percent chance of a vaccine being broadly available before the first quarter of 2021. The chance of this has now risen, the bank said.
“‘Using the superforecasters’ estimates for our upside case implies that the current equity market level is consistent with a probability of around 40 percent for both our baseline and upside cases and 20 percent for the downside case-in other words, 60 percent on the ‘no early vaccine’ outcome.'”
Walter Frick, Harvard Business Review (January 2018)
Paul J.H. Schoemaker & Philip E. Tetlock, MIT Sloan Management Review (13 March 2017)
Paul J.H. Schoemaker & Philip E. Tetlock, Harvard Business Review (May 2016)
Lewis Krauskopf, Reuters (22 September 2020)
Bill Conerly, Forbes (13 August 2020)
Tim Kilpatrick, MedCity News (6 August 2020)
Views - AIQ Investment Thinking (21 July 2020)
Stephen Gossett, BuiltIn (21 July 2020)
The 21st Show, Illinois Public Media (23 June 2020)
CBSN (22 June 2020)
David Robson, BBC Future (21 June 2020)
Tara Law, TIME (11 June 2020)
Steve Hsu & Corey Washington, Manifold podcast #50 (11 June 2020)
Jon Younger, Forbes (6 June 2020)
Yahoo! Finance "On the Move" (29 May 2020)
Jill Wagner, Cheddar TV "Opening Bell" (28 May 2020)
Bloomberg Radio (Carol Massar and Jason Kelly, hosts) (28 May 2020)
Peter Coy, Bloomberg Businessweek (27 May 2020)
Thomas Fischermann, Die Zeit (27 May 2020)
Ashley Dull, Cardrates.com (27 May 2020)
Tim Harford, BBC Radio "More or Less" (18 April 2020)
Manuela Saragosa, BBC Radio "Business Daily" (9 March 2020)
Walter Frick, Quartz.com (9 March 2020)
Will Dunn, New Statesman (21 February 2020)
Chris Smyth, The Times of London (18 February 2020)
Aleks Berditchevskaia & Kathy Peach, The Conversation (4 December 2019)
Michael Molnar, Forbes (27 November 2019)
ValueWalk (4 October 2019)
BBC Future (12 August 2019)
80,000 Hours Podcast (28 June 2019)
David Epstein, The Atlantic (June 2019)
(22 May 2019)
Hidden Brain, NPR (16 May 2019)
David Robson, BBC Future (12 April 2019)
Mike Bird, The Wall Street Journal (19 June 2018)
Arran Frood, New Scientist (24 February 2018)
Warren Hatch, Stratfor (4 February 2018)
Center for a New American Security (August 2017)
The Guardian (March 2017)
[email protected] (7 March 2017)
Philip Tetlock & Dan Gardner, Stratfor (15 October 2016)
Faye Flam, Bloomberg View (14 September 2016)
Jason Zweig, The Wall Street Journal (17 June 2016)
Tania Lombrozo, NPR 13.7 - Cosmos and Culture (23 February 2016)
Farnham Street (9 Dec. 2015)
Fareed Zakaria, GPS (27 Oct. 2015)
Philip E. Tetlock & J. Peter Scoblic, New York Times (2 October 2015)
The Economist (26 Sept. 2015)
[email protected] (13 May 2015)
Tim Harford, The Financial Times (5 Sept. 2014)
BBC Newsnight (5 Sept. 2014)
Alix Spiegel, Morning Edition, NPR (2 April 2014)
Philip E. Tetlock & Dan Gardner, The Economist: The World in 2014 (18 November 2013)
Schedule a consultation to learn how our Superforecaster Analytics, Workshops, or Staffcasting services can help your organization make better decisions.