Good Judgment seeks experienced colleagues for both externally and internally focused positions. The Marketing Communications Specialist will develop and execute traditional and digital/social communications, marketing, and public relations. The Content Specialist will write and edit forecasting reports, develop and regularly refresh content for our website, and create other documents such as brochures and newsletter features. In both cases, we’re open to full-time, part-time, and job-sharing arrangements for these remote-work positions.
Good Judgment is an Equal Opportunity Employer, eager to foster workforce diversity. We choose our certified Superforecasters® based on measured performance, regardless of background data, and endeavor to do the same in our hiring practices.
J. Peter Scoblic & Philip E. Tetlock, Foreign Affairs (November/December 2020)
The authors advocate combining the power of imagination with the science of probabilistic prediction to create a powerful approach to strategic foresight. They note:
This holistic method would provide policymakers with both a range of conceivable futures and regular updates as to which one is likely to emerge. For once, they could make shrewd bets about tomorrow, today.
Peter Coy, Bloomberg Businessweek (30 September 2020)
“Good Judgment Inc. says the median estimate of its team of forecasters as of Sept. 30 was that Biden had a 78% chance of victory, up from 75% on Sept. 29 and the highest figure since Aug. 18. ….
“The overnight increase in Biden’s victory chances was not attributed specifically to the debate, but it seems likely to have played a big part in the forecasters’ reassessment, since it was the biggest political event of the past 24 hours.”
Paul R. La Monica, CNN Business (21 September 2020)
“Investors are trying to figure out what’s ahead for the stock market — much of which will depend on who’s elected US president. But it could be weeks or even months before one of the candidates concedes, according to new research.
“A team of ‘superforecasters’ — analysts with particularly good track records — for the firm Good Judgment think there’s only a 16% probability President Donald Trump or Joe Biden will concede by the end of election week, says CEO Warren Hatch, who shared data exclusively with CNN Business.”
Walter Frick, Harvard Business Review (January 2018)
Paul J.H. Schoemaker & Philip E. Tetlock, MIT Sloan Management Review (13 March 2017)
Paul J.H. Schoemaker & Philip E. Tetlock, Harvard Business Review (May 2016)
Stuart Ritchie, New Statesman (20 October 2020)
Celine Castronuovo, The Hill (30 September 2020)
Ben Cohen, The Wall Street Journal (30 September 2020)
MAN Institute (29 September 2020)
Lewis Krauskopf, Reuters (22 September 2020)
Bill Conerly, Forbes (13 August 2020)
Saloni Sardona, Entrepreneur (6 August 2020)
Bryan Walsh, Axios Future (12 August 2020)
Tim Kilpatrick, MedCity News (6 August 2020)
Views - AIQ Investment Thinking (21 July 2020)
Stephen Gossett, BuiltIn (21 July 2020)
Timandra Harkness, BBC Radio 4 (14 July 2020)
The 21st Show, Illinois Public Media (23 June 2020)
CBSN (22 June 2020)
David Robson, BBC Future (21 June 2020)
Tara Law, TIME (11 June 2020)
Steve Hsu & Corey Washington, Manifold podcast #50 (11 June 2020)
Jon Younger, Forbes (6 June 2020)
Yahoo! Finance "On the Move" (29 May 2020)
Jill Wagner, Cheddar TV "Opening Bell" (28 May 2020)
Bloomberg Radio (Carol Massar and Jason Kelly, hosts) (28 May 2020)
Peter Coy, Bloomberg Businessweek (27 May 2020)
Thomas Fischermann, Die Zeit (27 May 2020)
Ashley Dull, Cardrates.com (27 May 2020)
Tim Harford, BBC Radio "More or Less" (18 April 2020)
Talking Politics podcast (12 March 2020)
Manuela Saragosa, BBC Radio "Business Daily" (9 March 2020)
Walter Frick, Quartz.com (9 March 2020)
Will Dunn, New Statesman (21 February 2020)
Chris Smyth, The Times of London (18 February 2020)
Aleks Berditchevskaia & Kathy Peach, The Conversation (4 December 2019)
Michael Molnar, Forbes (27 November 2019)
ValueWalk (4 October 2019)
BBC Future (12 August 2019)
80,000 Hours Podcast (28 June 2019)
David Epstein, The Atlantic (June 2019)
(22 May 2019)
Hidden Brain, NPR (16 May 2019)
David Robson, BBC Future (12 April 2019)
Mike Bird, The Wall Street Journal (19 June 2018)
Arran Frood, New Scientist (24 February 2018)
Warren Hatch, Stratfor (4 February 2018)
Center for a New American Security (August 2017)
The Guardian (March 2017)
[email protected] (7 March 2017)
Philip Tetlock & Dan Gardner, Stratfor (15 October 2016)
Faye Flam, Bloomberg View (14 September 2016)
Jason Zweig, The Wall Street Journal (17 June 2016)
Tania Lombrozo, NPR 13.7 - Cosmos and Culture (23 February 2016)
Farnham Street (9 Dec. 2015)
Fareed Zakaria, GPS (27 Oct. 2015)
Philip E. Tetlock & J. Peter Scoblic, New York Times (2 October 2015)
The Economist (26 Sept. 2015)
[email protected] (13 May 2015)
Tim Harford, The Financial Times (5 Sept. 2014)
BBC Newsnight (5 Sept. 2014)
Alix Spiegel, Morning Edition, NPR (2 April 2014)
Philip E. Tetlock & Dan Gardner, The Economist: The World in 2014 (18 November 2013)
Schedule a consultation to learn how our Superforecaster Analytics, Workshops, or Staffcasting services can help your organization make better decisions.