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The Outlook for a COVID-19 Vaccine

Bloomberg Radio, 28 May 2020 (Carol Massar and Jason Kelly, hosts)

Starting at 13:39 into the broadcast, Bloomberg Businessweek economics editor Peter Coy and Good Judgment CEO Warren Hatch discuss the Superforecasters’ projections about when a COVID vaccine will be widely available. Coy’s take on the value of Superforecasting®:

The measure of success is not perfection, it’s just having a little bit of an edge. I’m willing to say that maybe these people, just because of their disciplined way of thinking, the fact that they’re not emotionally tied to a particular answer or financially invested in their answer makes them worth listening to.

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