In this program on how to predict the future and beat the wisdom of the crowds, the BBC’s Manuela Saragosa speaks to Good Judgment CEO Warren Hatch about Superforecasters and about the techniques they use to make their forecasts about topics ranging from geopolitics to economics and finance to science and technology.
Mike Bird, The Wall Street Journal (19 June 2018)
In finance, a good forecast can mean the difference between bumper earnings and bankruptcy. The need for an accurate outlook is leading some firms to a novel and increasingly popular technique for predicting the future…. Superforecasting
Michael Molnar, Forbes (27 November 2019)
Good Judgment CEO and Superforecaster® Warren Hatch talks with Michael Molnar about his experiences as a forecaster in the research project (spoiler alert: he wasn’t an instant success!) and the ways in which Good Judgment Inc helps clients who want to take Superforecasting from the printed page to practical applications.
Walter Frick, Quartz.com (9 March 2020)
In a follow-up to a January survey, Quartz reporter Walter Frick asked Good Judgment’s Superforecasters how their views on the likelihood of a US recession have changed in light of the coronavirus outbreak. The results were sobering: Superforecasters doubled their collective estimate of a recession from 18% in January to 36% in March.
Frick reports that the Superforecasters’ increased pessimism is consistent with that of other financial forecasters.
Harvard Business Review (May 2016)
[email protected] (7 March 2017)
MIT Sloan Management Review (March 2017)
Center for a New American Security (August 2017)
Fareed Zakaria GPS (January 2018)
Harvard Business Review (January 2018)
New Scientist (24 February 2018)
Wall Street Journal (17 June 2016)
Stratfor (15 October 2016)
Financial Times (8 July 2016)
City A.M. (26 May 2016)
Barry Ritholtz’s The Big Picture (26 March 2016)
Penn Spotlights (22 March 2016)
Axiom (17 February 2016)
On the Media (6 March 2016)
Bloomberg (29 February 2016)
Street.com (23 February 2016)
Seeking Alpha (10 February 2016)
The Post and Courier (27 December 2015)
Business Insider (22 Dec. 2015)
News.com.au (21 Dec. 2015)
Farnham Street (9 Dec. 2015)
Bloomberg View (14 September 2016)
Fareed Zakaria, GPS (27 Oct. 2015)
BBC Newshour (21 Oct. 2015)
Investor’s Business Daily (19 Oct. 2015)
CNN (18 Oct. 2015)
New York Times Book Review (15 Oct. 2015)
Macleans (13 Oct. 2015)
Forbes (6 Oct. 2015)
New York (6 Oct. 2015)
The Chronicle of Higher Education (5 Oct. 2015)
Scientific American (2 Oct. 2015)
New York Times (2 Oct. 2015)
[email protected] (2 Oct. 2015)
The Washington Post (30 Sept. 2015)
WNPR (29 Sept. 2015)
Bloomberg Business (27 Oct. 2015)
The Guardian (March 2017)
Minnesota Public Radio News (5 August 2017)
NPR 13.7 (23 February 2016)
Management Today (29 Sept. 2015)
The Economist (26 Sept. 2015)
Independent (19 Aug. 2015)
[email protected] (13 May 2015)
Philly.com (5 Feb. 2015)
The Washington Post (29 Jan. 2015)
Popular Science (22 Jan. 2015)
TEDx Vienna (5 Dec. 2014)
Financial Times (5 Sept. 2014)
BBC Newsnight (5 Sept. 2014)
BBC Future (12 June 2014)
NPR (2 Apr. 2014)
The Economist: The World
Fareed Zakaria GPS (January 2019)
(22 May 2019)
BBC Future (10 April 2019)
David Robson, BBC Future (12 April 2019)
NPR (16 May 2019)
80,000 Hours Podcast (28 June 2019)
Aleks Berditchevskaia & Kathy Peach, The Conversation (17 July 2019)
BBC Crowdscience Podcast (12 June 2019)
BBC Future (12 August 2019)
Chris Smyth, The Times of London (18 February 2020)
New Statesman (21 February 2020)
Aleks Berditchevskaia & Kathy Peach, The Conversation (4 December 2019)
Warren Hatch, Stratfor (4 February 2018)
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