Public Interest Superforecasts

Will the World Health Organization (WHO) declare a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) regarding H5N1 avian influenza before 1 January 2025? Today's
Forecast		1-week
Change
Today's Forecast:
 A
 
Yes		 1% 0    
 B
 
No		 99% 0    
Forecast History:


How many deaths attributed to H5N1 avian influenza will the World Health Organization (WHO) report between 7 February 2023 and 31 December 2024? Today's
Forecast		1-week
Change
Today's Forecast:
 A
 
Fewer than 100		 100% 0    
 B
 
Between 100 and 1,000, inclusive		 0% 0    
 C
 
More than 1,000 but fewer than 10,000		 0% 0    
 D
 
Between 10,000 and 100,000, inclusive		 0% 0    
 E
 
More than 100,000		 0% 0    
Forecast History:


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