COVID Recovery Dashboard > Keeping Score on Good Judgment’s COVID Superforecasts

We Keep Score!

How accurately did Superforecasters anticipate the outcomes of the forecasting questions posed on Good Judgment's COVID Recovery dashboard? Each time a question resolves – no matter how it resolves – we'll post the results here for all to see.

As of July 27th, two of the questions on our COVID Recovery Dashboard have resolved: Major League Baseball began its regular season, and Walt Disney World re-opened its Magic Kingdom theme park. Below, we present the full forecasting history for those questions, along with the Superforecasters’ Brier scores and some comparative data about what other analysts and pundits were saying while these questions were still open.

Check out our public dashboard to see what the Superforecasters have to say about over two dozen open forecasting questions on additional reopening metrics, as well as the prospects for widely available vaccines and treatments, COVID case and mortality metrics, the US November elections, and both US and global economic and financial indicators.

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