Public Dashboard > Keeping Score on Good Judgment’s Public Dashboard

We Keep Score!

How accurately do Superforecasters anticipate the outcomes of the questions they forecast on? Each time a question resolves, we score it. Below are some examples of the questions that appeared on Good Judgment’s public dashboard.

Below, we present the full forecasting history, along with the Superforecasters’ Brier scores, for some of the questions that have appeared on our public dashboard. The Brier score, in simple terms, measures how far a prediction falls from the eventual outcome on a 0 to 2 scale. The smaller the score the more accurate the forecast, with 0 representing perfect prescience.

Below, we present the full forecasting history for some of those questions, along with the Superforecasters’ Brier scores. Check out our public dashboard for publicly available questions or learn about our new subscription dashboard, FutureFirst, to see the Superforecasters’ ongoing predictions on the progress of COVID-19 vaccines, US and European politics, geopolitical risks, and US and global economic and financial indicators.

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