A decision is only as good as the forecasts on which it is based. That’s why leaders in the private and public sectors are turning to the evidence-based techniques that helped the Good Judgment Project achieve unprecedented accuracy. They know that Superforecasting can quantify hard-to-measure risks for smarter strategic decisions.
“Team Good Judgment, led by Philip Tetlock and Barbara Mellers of the University of Pennsylvania, beat the control group by more than 50%. This is the largest improvement in judgmental forecasting accuracy observed in the literature.”
Steven Rieber, Program Manager, IARPA“… it IS possible to predict the future – and a new breed of ‘Superforecasters’ knows how to do it.”
Tim Harford“In finance, a good forecast can mean the difference between bumper earnings and bankruptcy. The need for an accurate outlook is leading some firms to a novel and increasingly popular technique for predicting the future … Superforecasting”
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