The latest buzz on Superforecasting

What the “superforecasters” predict for major events in 2025

The World Ahead 2025, The Economist (November 2024)

Following another successful collaboration last year, Good Judgment’s Superforecasters were invited to contribute their forecasts for The Economist’s forward-looking publication, The World Ahead 2025. Their forecasts focus on US tariffs; elections in Germany, Canada, and Australia; China’s inflation; the Russia-Ukraine conflict; and more.

Alternative data: Can superforecasters beat the market?

Financial Times (July 2024)

“A group of lay people with a talent for forecasting have consistently outperformed financial markets in predicting the Fed’s next move,” writes Financial Times’ data journalist Joel Suss in “Alternative data: Can superforecasters beat the market?”

There’s a Name for the Trap Biden Faces

The New York Times (July 2024)

Adam Grant’s guest essay in the New York Times references Good Judgment and Superforecasters.

“What Mr. Biden needs is not a support network but a challenge network,” the NYT bestselling author writes. “An ideal candidate for this role might be professional forecaster, since forecasters — unlike pollsters, who tell us what voters think today — excel at anticipating how views are likely to change tomorrow.”