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FutureFirst™, Good Judgment’s exclusive monitoring tool, gives you 24/7 access to forecasts to help you quantify risk, improve judgment, and make decisions.
Our global network of professional Superforecasters separates the signal from the noise, saving you time and money.
Forecasts are updated daily and displayed alongside historical forecast trends and regular reports with Superforecaster commentary. Extend your research team with our Superforecasters, the best in the business at generating accurate, early information on the topics you care most about.
| • | Enhance risk management with near real-time monitoring of uncertain events |
| • | Identify and capitalize on opportunities earlier and with greater confidence |
| • | Track topics that matter most to them on a tailored watchlist |
| • | Pose their own topical questions to the Superforecasters for customized insights |
Superforecasters are less noisy — they don’t show the variability that the rest of us show. They’re very smart; but also, very importantly, they don’t think in terms of “yes” or “no” but in terms of probability. They break problems down to their component parts and don’t think holistically.
Cass Sunstein, Robert Walmsley University Professor at Harvard Law School and co-author of NoiseAn independent analysis by the MAN Institute revealed that investors who follow our COVID-19 vaccine availability forecasts could have anticipated a 5% downturn in the market for a basket of COVID-sensitive stocks with more than two weeks’ advance warning. Their conclusion: “If there is one thing better than the wisdom of the crowds, it is the wisdom of well-informed crowds.” The Superforecasters are that crowd.
An analysis of Good Judgment Project forecasts by UC-Irvine decision scientist Mark Steyvers found that Superforecasters anticipated events 400 days in advance as accurately as regular forecasters could see those events 150 days ahead.
| ☑ | Unrivaled accuracy on the future |
| ☑ | Precise probability values with context |
| ☑ | Cutting-edge crowd-sourcing tools |
| ☑ | Early indicators to take action sooner |
Schedule a consultation to learn how our FutureFirst monitoring tool, custom Superforecasts, and training services can help your organization make better decisions.