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To better understand the consequences of climate change over the short-, medium- and long-term, the Forethought Foundation turned to Good Judgment to forecast how rising global temperatures will impact on critical issues like drought, floods, food availability, and severe weather events. For this project, which was launched in conjunction with William MacAskill’s new book, What We Owe The Future, the Superforecasters also made predictions on future levels of CO2 emissions, the future of the Amazon biome, the cost of solar energy, and the risk of human extinction. The resulting report was released in August 2022.
To gauge what to expect over the next 10 years, the thinktank adelphi teamed up with Good Judgment, the world’s most accurate geopolitical and global risk forecasting entity.
Published in May 2022 by the Weathering Risk initiative, the study uses the unsurpassed track record of the Superforecasters to help convert the uncertainty of geopolitics amidst the climate crisis into manageable risks. It sets out seven key questions which should be on the G7’s agenda.
The Arab Strategy Forum turned to Good Judgment’s Superforecasters for insights on global and regional trends for the next decade. Their forecasts make fascinating reading.
Good Judgment worked with the Center for New American Security on a “case study [that] examined how [the Department of State’s Bureau of International Narcotics and Law Enforcement Affairs (INL)] used Good Judgment Inc.’s forecasting reports to inform its decisions on how to support Colombia in its eradication of illicit coca crops.” The authors discovered that the “predictive approach to agility provides decisionmakers with rigorous and regularly updated predictions of the costs and benefits associated with competing decisions.”
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