The largest public forecasting platform of its kind – Good Judgment Open – is the ideal place to practice your Superforecasting® skills. Major media outlets and other sponsors pose newsworthy and noteworthy questions. Keep score and compete for a chance to become one of Good Judgment’s professional Superforecasters.
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For the past three years, Good Judgment Open has hosted a technology forecasting challenge sponsored by the Program on Vehicle and Mobility Innovation at the Wharton School. Led by John Paul MacDuffie and Rahul Kapoor, the Challenge objective has been to learn more about the likely trajectory of emerging technologies such as driverless and electric vehicles by harnessing the wisdom of the crowd.
Using forecast data from the 2017-2018 challenge, the Wharton research team created two auto industry disruption indexes that measure “bullish” vs “bearish” crowd views on the prospects for electric cars and autonomous vehicles.
Learn more about the most recent Challenge and download the researchers’ report here.
Interested forecasters now have an opportunity to participate in the 2022 Long-Term Vehicle Innovations Challenge.
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