Our FutureFirst™ service gives you 24/7 access to Superforecaster insights on dozens of newsworthy questions.
With a subscription to FutureFirst you have access to dozens of daily updated forecasts
plus qualitative analysis by Good Judgment Inc’s Professional Superforecasters.
Good Judgment’s global network of Superforecasters has its roots in research funded by the US intelligence community. The Good Judgment Project—led by Philip Tetlock and Barbara Mellers at the University of Pennsylvania—emerged as the undisputed victor of the geopolitical forecasting competition. Reports that Superforecasters were 30% more accurate than intelligence analysts with access to classified information rocked the conventional wisdom. Tetlock and Mellers co-founded Good Judgment Inc to provide forecasting services to partners and clients in the non-profit, government, and private sectors.
That question made Superforecasting required reading from Wall Street to 10 Downing Street. Read more >>
See our Case Studies for additional examples of organizations using Superforecasting to solve their toughest forecasting problems and make better decisions.
Financial Times (July 2024)
“A group of lay people with a talent for forecasting have consistently outperformed financial markets in predicting the Fed’s next move,” writes Financial Times’ data journalist Joel Suss in “Alternative data: Can superforecasters beat the market?”
The New York Times (July 2024)
Adam Grant’s guest essay in the New York Times references Good Judgment and Superforecasters.
“What Mr. Biden needs is not a support network but a challenge network,” the NYT bestselling author writes. “An ideal candidate for this role might be professional forecaster, since forecasters — unlike pollsters, who tell us what voters think today — excel at anticipating how views are likely to change tomorrow.”
The World Ahead 2024, The Economist (November 2023)
Following another successful collaboration last year, Good Judgment’s Superforecasters were invited to contribute their forecasts for The Economist’s forward-looking publication, The World Ahead 2024. Their forecasts focus on the UK, US, and Indian elections, global economy, and conflict hotspots in the coming year. Superforecasters received full marks for accuracy for their 2023 forecasts published at the end of last year.
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