Superforecasting® Services

Featured public Superforecasts

Will the Federal Reserve hike in September? Will the US federal government shut down before 1 November 2024? Will shots be fired between a Quad country and China before 2025? These were among the most read reports on our subscription-only FutureFirst™ monitor in the past 30 days. We highlight these questions with a limited sample of Superforecaster commentary on our Public Dashboard. Many more great forecasts, including those on Taiwan, China’s GDP, and key elections around the world, are available through our paid subscription, FutureFirst.

Why Superforecasting?

When you make decisions based on precise probability forecasts, rather than hunches, the benefits are game-changing.

Gain a competitive edge

Making decisions without precise probability forecasts is like playing poker without counting cards. Outsmart your competition with well-calibrated forecasts.

Manage risk

Convert strategic uncertainty into manageable risk to avoid costly mistakes.

Seize opportunities

Identify expected outcomes before others recognize them so that you can capitalize on opportunities quickly and with confidence.

Who are the Superforecasters?

Good Judgment’s global network of Superforecasters has its roots in research funded by the US intelligence community. The Good Judgment Project—led by Philip Tetlock and Barbara Mellers at the University of Pennsylvania—emerged as the undisputed victor of the geopolitical forecasting competition. Reports that Superforecasters were 30% more accurate than intelligence analysts with access to classified information rocked the conventional wisdom. Tetlock and Mellers co-founded Good Judgment Inc to provide forecasting services to partners and clients in the non-profit, government, and private sectors.

Why are Superforecasters so accurate? That question made Superforecasting required reading from Wall Street to 10 Downing Street. Read more >>

Who We Serve

The world’s most innovative organizations turn to Good Judgment to get early insight on pivotal questions about the future.

See our Case Studies for specific examples of organizations using Superforecasting to solve their toughest forecasting problems and make better decisions.

Learn Superforecasting from the Experts

Good Judgment is pleased to announce our next public workshop, in an all-virtual format.

October Superforecasting Workshop

3 & 5 October 2023
10 am – 12:30 pm EDT

Participants should plan to join both Tuesday and Thursday.

Need help, lost your tickets, or have any questions? Click here for help
Contact us for our government and NGO rate. Private tailored workshops for your team, with material focused on your specific interests, are also available upon request.



Stop guessing. Start Superforecasting.

Schedule a consultation to learn how our FutureFirst monitoring tool, custom Superforecasts, and training services can help your organization make better decisions.

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