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See the future coming with professional crowd-sourced insights and quantified forecasts.
Train your internal strategists and analysts to think like Superforecasters.
Great decisions require great forecasts. Good Judgment uses the science of Superforecasting to turn your strategic uncertainty into manageable risk.
Good Judgment’s global network of Superforecasters has its roots in research funded by the US intelligence community. The Good Judgment Project—led by Philip Tetlock and Barbara Mellers at the University of Pennsylvania—emerged as the undisputed victor of the geopolitical forecasting competition. Reports that Superforecasters were 30% more accurate than intelligence analysts with access to classified information rocked the conventional wisdom. Tetlock and Mellers co-founded Good Judgment Inc to provide forecasting services to partners and clients in the non-profit, government, and private sectors.
That question made Superforecasting required reading from Wall Street to 10 Downing Street. Read more >>
The World Ahead 2024, The Economist (November 2023)
Following another successful collaboration last year, Good Judgment’s Superforecasters were invited to contribute their forecasts for The Economist’s forward-looking publication, The World Ahead 2024. Their forecasts focus on the UK, US, and Indian elections, global economy, and conflict hotspots in the coming year. Superforecasters received full marks for accuracy for their 2023 forecasts published at the end of last year.
Financial Times (August 2023)
Nicholas Gruen writes in the Financial Times that better economic forecasting is possible and cites our Superforecasting the Fed paper.
New York Times (June 2023)
NYT’s Peter Coy writes, “Fed watchers on Wall Street have had a bad past few months. […] Good Judgment Inc., a private forecasting outfit, calculates that its […] superforecasters […] were more accurate in two respects: closer to the mark and with less variability.”
Schedule a consultation to learn how our FutureFirst monitoring tool, custom Superforecasts, and training services can help your organization make better decisions.