About > The Science of Superforecasting

It’s not magic. It’s the science of Superforecasting.

Good Judgment's forecasting techniques build on rigorous research to bring the future into focus .

Proven methods. Powerful results.

Good Judgment research discovered four keys to accurate forecasting: talent-spotting, training, teaming, and aggregation.

Our scientifically validated process uses these four keys to unlock the secret to better forecasts – and better decisions.

  • Superforecasters are less noisy — they don’t show the variability that the rest of us show.  They’re very smart; but also, very importantly, they don’t think in terms of “yes” or “no” but in terms of probability. They break problems down to their component parts and don’t think holistically.

    Cass Sunstein, Robert Walmsley University Professor at Harvard Law School and co-author of Noise

Dive deeper into peer-reviewed research on Superforecasting

Selected Good Judgment publications on the science of Superforecasting.

Intrigued?

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