New Challenges and Post-Mortems

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LAUNCHING THE “STATE OF THE UNION” CHALLENGE A lot is happening on Good Judgment Open this week. We are wrapping the “First 100 Days” Challenge and launching the “State of the Union” forecasting challenge sponsored by the Washington Post’s Monkey Cage blog. “State of the Union” will offer a battery of questions on the major […]

Who are the Superforecasters?

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The Superforecasters, identified through the Good Judgment Project research, are the backbone of Good Judgment’s forecasting services. In particular, it is through their forecasting prowess on Superforecasting teams that we can offer accurate, well calibrated forecasts to our Analytics clients. We have kept score on every forecast made by Superforecasters since 2011. They have a proven […]

Announcing the Elite Forecasters Challenge

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Good Judgment Inc and the Arab Strategy Forum are pleased to announce the launch of the Elite Forecasters Challenge and invite aspiring forecasters with ties to the Arab world to join. Participants will compete to become part of an exclusive cadre of independently verified elite forecasters that can help the Arab world better prepare for […]

NYC Superforecasting Workshops in May 2017

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Good Judgment Inc workshops are meant for “Monday morning deployment” – the lessons you will learn in the workshop are ready-to-deliver back to your team by the next Monday morning. Putting scientifically-validated forecasting techniques into practice is the goal of the Good Judgment Inc workshops, which are now open for registration in New York City […]

Bringing the Wisdom of the Crowd to Help the Early Warning Project

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Good Judgment Inc (GJI), the Early Warning Project (EWP), and the United States Holocaust Memorial Museum (USHMM) are pleased to announce an expanded partnership in 2017-2018. The Early Warning Project Challenge is now open for forecasters on GJ Open.  In the 2016 Early Warning Project Forecasting Challenge on GJ Open, forecasters predicted the likelihood of […]

Forecasting Disaster, Alleviating Suffering

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Imagine humanitarian aid on the ground, ready to go when (or even ready before) it is most needed. When cold, hungry refugees flee their homes in advance of Taliban fighting in Afghanistan… or when increasingly dangerous storms jeopardize food supplies… or when government and rebel forces clash, risking civilian lives. Anticipatory aid for disasters could […]

Try Your Hand at Forecasting Finance and Economic Questions

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Good Judgment Inc (GJI) and the CFA Society Los Angeles are launching an exciting new partnership for the members of CFA Society Los Angeles, the wider global CFA community, and those interested in becoming better forecasters in the world of economics and finance. CFA charterholders and other interested parties will have the opportunity to compete […]