“Investors are trying to figure out what’s ahead for the stock market — much of which will depend on who’s elected US president. But it could be weeks or even months before one of the candidates concedes, according to new research.

“A team of ‘superforecasters’ — analysts with particularly good track records — for the firm Good Judgment think there’s only a 16% probability President Donald Trump or Joe Biden will concede by the end of election week, says CEO Warren Hatch, who shared data exclusively with CNN Business.”