Superforecaster Perspectives > Read like a Superforecaster®

We surveyed Good Judgment’s professional Superforecasters during the height of the COVID lockdowns to get their reading recommendations. They offered both pandemic-related suggestions and a list of all-time-favorite reads.

We then shared the entire list of recommendations with the group and asked them to upvote their favorites. Below, we share the results, ranked in order of the number of votes received.


Superforecaster Reading Recommendations

Summer 2020


Marcus Aurelius, Meditations

Daniel Defoe, A Journal of the Plague Year

Michael Lewis, The Fifth Risk and The Undoing Project: A Friendship That Changed Our Minds

David Quammen, Spillover: Animal Infections and the Next Human Pandemic

Jonathan Haidt, The Righteous Mind

Steven Johnson, Ghost Map

Jordan Ellenberg, How Not to Be Wrong: The Power of Mathematical Thinking

Scott Page, The Model Thinker

Kurt Vonnegut, Galapagos and Cat’s Cradle

Ezra Klein, Why We Are Polarized

Paul Ewald, Plague Time: How Stealth Infections Cause Cancer, Heart Disease, and Other Deadly Ailments and Evolution of Infection Disease

Michael Crichton, The Andromeda Strain

Daniel Kahneman, Thinking, Fast and Slow

Max Brooks, World War Z: An Oral History of the Zombie War

Cixin Liu, The Three-Body Problem (trilogy)

Hilary Mantel, The Mirror and the Light

Ron Chernow, Grant

Gabriel Garcia Marquez, Love in the Time of Cholera

Douglas Hofstadter, Gödel, Escher, and Bach

Robert Pirsig, Zen and the Art of Motorcycle Maintenance

Dan Mayland, The Colonel’s Mistake

Toby Ord, The Precipice

Charles E. Rosenberg, The Cholera Years: The United States in 1832, 1849, and 1866

Peter Turchin, War and Peace and War

Laurie Garrett, The Coming Plague

Tom Wright, Billion Dollar Whale

Dave Levitan, Not a Scientist: How Politicians Mistake, Misrepresent, and Utterly Mangle Science

Thomas H. Corman, Charles E. Leiserson, Ronald L. Rivest, & Clifford Stein, Introduction to Algorithms (3rd ed.)

Matt Leacock, Pandemic (not a book, but a cooperative board game)

Agustin Rayo, On the Brink of Paradox

James Gleick, Chaos: Making a New Science

Damir Huromovic (ed.), Psychiatry of Pandemics: A Mental Health Response to Infection Outbreak

Dani Rodrik, Economics Rules: The Rights and Wrongs of the Dismal Science

James Ellroy, This Storm

Martin Gurri, The Revolt of the Public

Robert Sapolsky, Behave

Hari Hunzru, Transmission

Adam Kucharski, Rules of Contagion: Why Things Spread

Albert Camus, The Plague

Milton Friedman, Capitalism and Freedom

Robert O. Paxton, The Anatomy of Fascism

David Mitchell, The Thousand Autumns of Jacob de Zoet: A Novel

Patrick R. Murray, Ken S. Rosenthal, & Michael A. Pfaller, Medical Microbiology (9th ed.)

Bruno Maçães, Belt and Road: A Chinese World Order and The Dawn of Eurasia: On the Trail of a New World Order

Jose Saramago, Blindness

Greg Egan, Permutation City

John Wyndham, The Day of the Triffids

Laura Spinney, Pale Rider

V.S. Naipaul, A House for Mr. Biswas

Norman Juster, The Phantom Tollbooth

Alicia Keys, More Myself: A Journey

Robert Shiller, Narrative Economics

Daniel Immerwahr, How to Hide an Empire

Tom Nichols, The Death of Expertise

Fernando Pessoa, The Book of Disquiet

James Joyce, Ulysses

Alan Moore & David Lloyd, V for Vendetta

Czeslaw Milosz, The Captive Mind


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