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Design a program to teach best-practice forecasting techniques to analysts in departments ranging from Private Equity to Real Estate.
Take an evidence-based approach to the Fund's talent-development project, using the same tools and techniques that helped the Good Judgment Project win the largest-ever geopolitical forecasting competition.
Set up a controlled experiment with three levels of training (no training, online training only, or in-person workshop), and combine each approach with forecasting practice on Good Judgment Open.
Participants who attended an in-person workshop in addition to practice forecasting achieved training objectives far more often than did analysts who received no formal training.
“[Good Judgment] help[ed] us understand people’s biases and see the distribution of views to better check and inform the average [forecast].”Project Participant
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