Resources > The Superforecasters’ Track Record > Forecasting a new administration’s policies

Can anyone anticipate the policies of a new administration?

Yes, the Superforecasters can.

Before President Trump took office in January 2017, ClearerThinking.org decided to hold a crowd forecasting competition to predict the policies of the new administration − and they asked the Superforecasters to take part.

The study designers picked the topics and the competitors. They tracked the competitors’ performance. (Good Judgment wasn’t even aware of the other two groups in the “competition.”) After a little over a year, ClearerThinking.org published the results on their website.

To no one’s surprise, the Superforecasters came out on top.

Intrigued?

Stop guessing. Start Superforecasting.

Schedule a consultation to learn how our Superforecaster Analytics, Workshops, or Staffcasting services can help your organization make better decisions.

  • This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.

Get Superforecasting Insights
delivered to your inbox!

  • This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.