This Good Judgment Open forecasting challenge has ended. To see all current challenges, visit https://www.gjopen.com/challenges.
Best-selling author and top Wharton professor Adam Grant has teamed up with Good Judgment to create a great way for people to practice the critical rethinking skills described in his latest book, Think Again.
The Think Again with Adam Grant forecasting challenge will run for six months on Good Judgment Open, home of the Internet’s smartest crowd™.
The Think Again with Adam Grant challenge asks you to make predictions about current topics and then utilize the concepts from Grant’s recent book to open your mind and challenge your thinking. Through this challenge you will experience the benefits of updating your opinions in a prediction environment with rapid, objective feedback.
Participants in this challenge will receive tips from Adam, as well as Superforecasters Jean-Pierre Beugoms and Kjirste Morrell, both of whom are featured in the book. Those who answer at least 10 questions will receive a free forecaster feedback report.
OVERALL CHALLENGE WINNER: The top forecaster in the challenge will receive a selection of five nonfiction titles on Adam’s 2021 book list, along with a copy of Think Again.
RUNNERS-UP: The next three highest scorers will receive copies of Adam’s best-sellers Think Again, Originals, and Give and Take.
Active challenge participants will receive a free Forecaster Feedback Report from Good Judgment Inc with data on their absolute performance and how it compares to that of other challenge participants.
Challenge participants can continue forecasting on Good Judgment Open to earn a tryout as a professional Superforecaster®.
Adam Grant has been Wharton’s top-rated professor for seven straight years. As an organizational psychologist, he is a leading expert on how we can find motivation and meaning, and live more generous and creative lives. He has been recognized as one of the world’s 10 most influential management thinkers and Fortune’s 40 under 40.
He is the author of four New York Times bestselling books that have sold millions of copies and been translated into 35 languages: Give and Take, Originals, Option B, and Power Moves. His latest book, Think Again, is the inspiration for this Good Judgment Open forecasting challenge.
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When Kjirste Morrell, a mechanical engineer with a PhD from MIT, first joined the Good Judgment Project in 2014-2015, geopolitical forecasting (the main subject of GJP) didn't seem an obvious fit. Today she is a professional Superforecaster and is featured as an exemplar of outstanding thought processes in Think Again. Read about her journey to Superforecasting®, the joy of discovering different ways to think about something, and tips for people seeking to improve their forecasting skills.
Learn more »When military historian Jean-Pierre Beugoms joined the Good Judgment Project back in 2011, in the middle of its first year, he worked his way up the leaderboard to become one of the first ever group of GJP superforecasters. Now a professional Superforecaster, Jean-Pierre is featured in Adam Grant's Think Again. Read about his outstanding track record in election forecasting, the importance of questioning assumptions, and tips for people who want to improve their forecasting skills.
Learn more »Adam Grant believes that keeping an open mind is a teachable skill. And no one could teach this hugely valuable skill better than he does in this wonderful read. The striking insights of this brilliant book are guaranteed to make you rethink your opinions and your most important decisions.
Daniel Kahneman, Nobel laureate and author of Thinking, Fast and SlowSchedule a consultation to learn how our FutureFirst monitoring tool, custom Superforecasts, and training services can help your organization make better decisions.