Explore Forecasting In-depth
The Good Judgment Project won the IARPA ACE forecasting tournament, a four-year geopolitical forecasting competition sponsored by the Office of the Director of National Intelligence, decisively beating the competition and besting intelligence community benchmarks produced by analysts with access to classified information by 30%.
Analyzing millions of forecasts made over four years we discovered four key factors to improve future predictions, each of which forms one module of our workshops. In addition, we will teach you forecasting question generation. Good forecasts start with good questions, which means considering objectivity, purpose alignment, change, and tradeoffs. Each registration includes:
  • The workshop itself
  • Lunch on the day
  • The opportunity to sit the Forecasting Aptitude Inventory
  • Access to future events hosted by Good Judgment
  • A Good Judgment workshop is also an opportunity to network and collaborate with others interested in taking their individual and organizational forecasting skills to the next level.

    "We received nothing but excitement and appreciation for the event. The analysts loved the chance to sit down for a morning and debate problems, scenarios and analytical techniques. Your team was professional, prepared, engaging and great to work with! Everything flowed really nicely."
    Rachel Bode, CEO
    Association of International Risk Intelligence Professionals
    Previous workshop clients include:
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    US Department of State
    In addition to:
    World Economic Forum
    UK Home Office

    Contact us to indicate your interest in workshops in other cities. Private tailored workshops for your team, with material focused on your specific interests, are also available upon request.