With the most extensive, independently verified track record of early foresight ever compiled, Good Judgment and its global network of certified Superforecasters are uniquely equipped to help you think more clearly about an uncertain future.
When you make decisions based on precise probability forecasts, rather than hunches, the benefits are game-changing.
Making decisions without precise probability forecasts is like playing poker without counting cards. Outsmart your competition with well-calibrated forecasts.
Convert strategic uncertainty into manageable risk to avoid costly mistakes.
Identify expected outcomes before others recognize them so that you can capitalize on opportunities quickly and with confidence.
Good Judgment’s global network of Superforecasters has its roots in research funded by the US intelligence community. Reports that Superforecasters were 30% more accurate than intelligence analysts with access to classified information rocked the conventional wisdom.
Why are Superforecasters so accurate? That question made Superforecasting required reading from Wall Street to 10 Downing Street.
Train your internal strategists and analysts to think like Superforecasters.
Get early insight into your mission-critical questions from our elite Superforecasters.
Strengthen your in-house forecasting capabilities with Superforecaster-tested tools and techniques.
Get an in-depth introduction to Superforecasting at one of our interactive public workshops.
Our combination of lecture and Superforecaster-led breakout sessions gives you a one-of-a-kind hands-on experience. You’ll learn how to craft the right questions, how to reduce the influence of cognitive biases, and how to crowd-source forecasts so that you can make better decisions.
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