With the most extensive, independently verified track record of early foresight ever compiled, Good Judgment and its global network of certified Superforecasters are uniquely equipped to help you think more clearly about an uncertain future.

New at Good Judgment Inc

Current featured Superforecasts on our public dashboard:

Will a major stimulus bill be enacted before the election? We feature the Superforecasters’ updated views on this question.

On-again, off-again stimulus negotiations pose risks to both parties, which – along with the pending Amy Coney Barrett confirmation vote – keeps our Congressional-election forecasts in the spotlight.

We update our probability forecasts at 7am EDT daily, refresh commentary weekly, and launch new questions often.

Want more information than you can find on our public dashboard? Subscribers receive access to historical data on closed questions, plus downloadable data and alerts on significant forecast changes for open questions.
Create your own subscription, choosing from the dozens of questions available, or subscribe to one of our value-priced packages.
 
To learn more about subscriptions, as well as how you can pose your own questions to the Superforecasters, please click here.

Why Superforecasting?

When you make decisions based on precise probability forecasts, rather than hunches, the benefits are game-changing.

Gain a competitive edge

Making decisions without precise probability forecasts is like playing poker without counting cards. Outsmart your competition with well-calibrated forecasts.

Manage risk

Convert strategic uncertainty into manageable risk to avoid costly mistakes.

Seize opportunities

Identify expected outcomes before others recognize them so that you can capitalize on opportunities quickly and with confidence.

Who are the Superforecasters?

Good Judgment’s global network of Superforecasters has its roots in research funded by the US intelligence community. Reports that Superforecasters were 30% more accurate than intelligence analysts with access to classified information rocked the conventional wisdom.

Why are Superforecasters so accurate? That question made Superforecasting required reading from Wall Street to 10 Downing Street. Read more >>

Superforecasting® Services

Who We Serve

The world’s most innovative organizations turn to Good Judgment to get early insight on pivotal questions about the future.

See our Case Studies for specific examples of organizations using Superforecasting to solve their toughest forecasting problems and make better decisions.  

Learn Superforecasting from the Experts

Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, Good Judgment has suspended its in-person public workshops until further notice. We do, however, offer virtual workshops and training courses. See our Private Workshops page for more details.

Individuals interested in Superforecasting training are also invited to consider our online training course, Superforecasting Fundamentals, and are welcome to practice their forecasting skills on our public forecasting site, Good Judgment Open.

Press & Insights

Intrigued?

Stop guessing. Start Superforecasting.

Schedule a consultation to learn how our Superforecaster Analytics, Workshops, or Staffcasting services can help your organization make better decisions.

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