With the most extensive, independently verified track record of early foresight ever compiled, Good Judgment and its global network of certified Superforecasters are uniquely equipped to help you think more clearly about an uncertain future.
This week, we’ve asked the Superforecasters to project how many US businesses will file for Chapter-11 bankruptcy in the coming months. Their forecasts reflect substantial pessimism about prospects for the US economy, even though they remain optimistic about passage a new fiscal stimulus before the November election.
When you make decisions based on precise probability forecasts, rather than hunches, the benefits are game-changing.
Making decisions without precise probability forecasts is like playing poker without counting cards. Outsmart your competition with well-calibrated forecasts.
Convert strategic uncertainty into manageable risk to avoid costly mistakes.
Identify expected outcomes before others recognize them so that you can capitalize on opportunities quickly and with confidence.
Good Judgment’s global network of Superforecasters has its roots in research funded by the US intelligence community. Reports that Superforecasters were 30% more accurate than intelligence analysts with access to classified information rocked the conventional wisdom.
Why are Superforecasters so accurate? That question made Superforecasting required reading from Wall Street to 10 Downing Street. Read more >>
See our Case Studies for specific examples of organizations using Superforecasting to solve their toughest forecasting problems and make better decisions.
Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, Good Judgment has suspended its in-person public workshops until further notice. We do, however, offer virtual workshops and training courses. Contact us if your organization is interested in this option.
Individuals interested in Superforecasting training are also invited to consider our online training course, Superforecasting Fundamentals, and are welcome to practice their forecasting skills on our public forecasting site, Good Judgment Open.
Timandra Harkness, BBC Radio 4, 14 July 2020
Tara Law, Time, 11 June 2020
David Robson, BBC Future, 21 June 2020
Schedule a consultation to learn how our Superforecaster Analytics, Workshops, or Staffcasting services can help your organization make better decisions.