With the most extensive, independently verified track record of early foresight ever compiled, Good Judgment and its global network of certified Superforecasters are uniquely equipped to help you think more clearly about an uncertain future.
This week, we revisit the Superforecasters’ expectations for COVID case and mortality counts as of 31 March 2021 with updated forecast “bins” to reflect what we currently know about this deadly disease.
Get Superforecaster® insights on critical questions about the path to recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic on our public COVID recovery dashboard here.
Good Judgment’s Global Risks dashboard, with forecasts and commentary from our professional Superforecasters on fast-moving topics such as coronavirus and the 2020 US elections, is also available for a 30-day free trial. Learn more >>
When you make decisions based on precise probability forecasts, rather than hunches, the benefits are game-changing.
Making decisions without precise probability forecasts is like playing poker without counting cards. Outsmart your competition with well-calibrated forecasts.
Convert strategic uncertainty into manageable risk to avoid costly mistakes.
Identify expected outcomes before others recognize them so that you can capitalize on opportunities quickly and with confidence.
Good Judgment’s global network of Superforecasters has its roots in research funded by the US intelligence community. Reports that Superforecasters were 30% more accurate than intelligence analysts with access to classified information rocked the conventional wisdom.
Why are Superforecasters so accurate? That question made Superforecasting required reading from Wall Street to 10 Downing Street. Read more >>
See our Case Studies for specific examples of organizations using Superforecasting to solve their toughest forecasting problems and make better decisions.
Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, Good Judgment has postponed its in-person public workshops until further notice. We do, however, offer virtual workshops and training courses. Contact us if your organization is interested in this option.
Individuals interested in Superforecasting training during this period are also invited to consider our online training course, Superforecasting Fundamentals, and are welcome to practice their forecasting skills on our public forecasting site, Good Judgment Open.
Peter Coy, Bloomberg Businessweek, 27 May 2020
Ashley Dull, CardRates.com, 27 May 2020
Yahoo! Finance "On the Move," 29 May 2020
Schedule a consultation to learn how our Superforecaster Analytics, Workshops, or Staffcasting services can help your organization make better decisions.