With the most extensive, independently verified track record of early foresight ever compiled, Good Judgment and its global network of certified Superforecasters are uniquely equipped to help you think more clearly about an uncertain future.
Good Judgment’s professional Superforecasters are tracking four Covid-19 questions.
Their forecasts and comments are available free to the public here.
Good Judgment’s Global Risks dashboard, with forecasts and commentary from our professional Superforecasters on fast-moving topics such as coronavirus and the 2020 US elections, is now available for a 30-day free trial. Learn more >>
Our Washington, DC, public workshop planned for March 19th has been postponed until further notice.
When you make decisions based on precise probability forecasts, rather than hunches, the benefits are game-changing.
Making decisions without precise probability forecasts is like playing poker without counting cards. Outsmart your competition with well-calibrated forecasts.
Convert strategic uncertainty into manageable risk to avoid costly mistakes.
Identify expected outcomes before others recognize them so that you can capitalize on opportunities quickly and with confidence.
Good Judgment’s global network of Superforecasters has its roots in research funded by the US intelligence community. Reports that Superforecasters were 30% more accurate than intelligence analysts with access to classified information rocked the conventional wisdom. Why are Superforecasters so accurate? That question made Superforecasting required reading from Wall Street to 10 Downing Street. Read more >>
See our Case Studies for specific examples of organizations using Superforecasting to solve their toughest forecasting problems and make better decisions.
Get an in-depth introduction to Superforecasting at one of our interactive public workshops. Our combination of lecture and Superforecaster-led breakout sessions gives you a one-of-a-kind hands-on experience. Learn how to craft the right questions, reduce the influence of cognitive biases, and crowd-source forecasts so that you can make better decisions. Tickets are on sale for the following cities:
Due to the Covid-19 pandemic, Good Judgment has postponed its public workshops until further notice.
Those interested in Superforecasting training during this period are invited to consider our online training course, Superforecasting Fundamentals, and are welcome to practice their forecasting skills on our public forecasting site, Good Judgment Open.
Schedule a consultation to learn how our Superforecaster Analytics, Workshops, or Staffcasting services can help your organization make better decisions.