In their annual publication previewing the year ahead, “The World Ahead 2022,” The Economist featured a full page of Good Judgment’s Superforecasts. FutureFirst subscribers have unlimited access to all those forecasts, with updated probability values and commentary. We also offer a glimpse into some of the questions on our Public Dashboard. Will a new variant of Covid-19 become dominant in the United States in 2022? Will 2022 see a surge in US air travel? We highlight these questions, plus forecasts on supply chain bottlenecks in US West Coast ports and the global spread of Covid-19 this winter. Many more great forecasts, including questions on inflation, taxes, and key elections, are available through our paid subscription, FutureFirst™.
When you make decisions based on precise probability forecasts, rather than hunches, the benefits are game-changing.
Making decisions without precise probability forecasts is like playing poker without counting cards. Outsmart your competition with well-calibrated forecasts.
Convert strategic uncertainty into manageable risk to avoid costly mistakes.
Identify expected outcomes before others recognize them so that you can capitalize on opportunities quickly and with confidence.
Good Judgment’s global network of Superforecasters has its roots in research funded by the US intelligence community. Reports that Superforecasters were 30% more accurate than intelligence analysts with access to classified information rocked the conventional wisdom.
Why are Superforecasters so accurate? That question made Superforecasting required reading from Wall Street to 10 Downing Street. Read more >>
See our Case Studies for specific examples of organizations using Superforecasting to solve their toughest forecasting problems and make better decisions.
Good Judgment is pleased to announce that our popular public workshops have returned in an all-virtual format.
8 & 9 December 2021
12:00 – 2:30 p.m. EST
Participants should plan to join both days.
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2 & 3 February 2022
12:00 – 2:30 p.m. EST
Participants should plan to join both days.
While you await the public workshop, individuals interested in Superforecasting training are invited to consider our online training course, Superforecasting Fundamentals. Boost your skills even more with regular forecasting practice on our public site, Good Judgment Open.
Schedule a consultation to learn how our FutureFirst monitoring tool, custom Superforecasts, and training services can help your organization make better decisions.