With the most extensive, independently verified track record of early foresight ever compiled, Good Judgment and its global network of certified Superforecasters are uniquely equipped to help you think more clearly about an uncertain future.
More than two million deaths from COVID-19: See what Superforecasters think is next for the world and the worst-hit country, the United States.
Will the Tokyo Olympics go ahead in July 2021? This week we’re focusing on these questions and others on COVID-19 vaccinations, economic indicators, and global affairs.
When you make decisions based on precise probability forecasts, rather than hunches, the benefits are game-changing.
Making decisions without precise probability forecasts is like playing poker without counting cards. Outsmart your competition with well-calibrated forecasts.
Convert strategic uncertainty into manageable risk to avoid costly mistakes.
Identify expected outcomes before others recognize them so that you can capitalize on opportunities quickly and with confidence.
Good Judgment’s global network of Superforecasters has its roots in research funded by the US intelligence community. Reports that Superforecasters were 30% more accurate than intelligence analysts with access to classified information rocked the conventional wisdom.
Why are Superforecasters so accurate? That question made Superforecasting required reading from Wall Street to 10 Downing Street. Read more >>
See our Case Studies for specific examples of organizations using Superforecasting to solve their toughest forecasting problems and make better decisions.
Good Judgment is pleased to announce that our popular public workshops have returned in an all-virtual format. We have just announced our first workshop for 2021.
Tuesday, February 9th, and Wednesday, February 10th (the session includes both dates)
7-9pm Eastern time
While you await the public workshop, individuals interested in Superforecasting training are invited to consider our online training course, Superforecasting Fundamentals. We’re offering a special 25% discount for those who’d like to get a head-start on their New Year’s resolution to make better decisions by improving their forecasting skills. Boost your skills even more with regular forecasting practice on our public site, Good Judgment Open.
J. Peter Scoblic & Philip E. Tetlock, Foreign Affairs, November/December 2020
Vijay Vaitheeswaran, The Economist, 16 November 2020
Ed McKinley, Luckbox magazine, Dec 20 / Jan 21 issue
Schedule a consultation to learn how our Superforecaster Analytics, Workshops, or Staffcasting services can help your organization make better decisions.