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An exclusive professional development program to engage, train, and evaluate interns in forecasting and decision making
Good Judgment’s popular Superforecasting Workshops are now being offered as part of a
structured competition for summer interns on forecasting topics of interest to your organization.
Two hours each, with a 10-minute break after the first hour
Before the first session:
» Participants take online Forecasting Aptitude Inventory (+/-30 minutes), which examines cognitive style and strengths and weaknesses with respect to forecasting acumen
» Participants log on to our public forecasting site, Good Judgment Open, get a team assignment, and practice on pre-selected forecasting questions alongside colleagues
» Review of participants’ aggregate performance on the Forecasting Aptitude Inventory
» Introduction to the cognitive biases that most harm forecast accuracy
» Discussion of best ways to set base rates
» Review of base rates and students’ forecasts on Good Judgment Open questions
» Discussion of best methods for team-based forecasting
» Team forecasting exercises
» Explanation of hindsight bias and test if group has been subject to “false memories”
» Discussion of scope insensitivity and other cognitive biases that harm forecast accuracy
» Introduction to forecasting question generation best practices and group exercise in question generation
» Brief discussion of aggregation algorithms
» Discussion of applying forecasting to foresight/scenario planning, and creation of forecast clusters to model long-term and strategic questions
» Review of participants’ performance on Good Judgment Open
The largest public forecasting platform of its kind, Good Judgment Open is the ideal place to practice forecasting skills. Participants gain experience predicting resolutions to newsworthy and noteworthy questions relevant to your organization.
» Forecaster feedback reports distributed to analyze performance and recommended ways to improve
» Certificate of course completion and accreditation for active participants, shareable on LinkedIn
Schedule a consultation to learn how our FutureFirst monitoring tool, custom Superforecasts, and training services can help your organization make better decisions.