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To better understand the consequences of climate change over the short, medium, and long term, the Forethought Foundation turned to Good Judgment to forecast how rising global temperatures will impact critical issues like drought, floods, food availability, and severe weather events.
For this project, which was launched in conjunction with William MacAskill’s new book, What We Owe The Future, the Superforecasters were asked to weigh in on 22 questions related to the long-term risk of climate change, making predictions on topics such as future levels of CO2 emissions, the future of the Amazon biome, the cost of solar energy, and the risk of human extinction.
Below are some featured observations based on the Superforecasters’ commentary. You can read the full report here.
Interested in Superforecasters’ forecasts on other topics?
Check out the Public Dashboard for selected questions from Good Judgment’s FutureFirst™ subscription service.
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