Early objective signals in geopolitics, energy and environment, economics, and public health.

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A subscription to FutureFirst grants you access to a monitoring tool, which aggregates all of Good Judgment's probability forecasts, updates them daily and provides Superforecaster commentary. Make better decisions with advanced insights into geopolitics, economics, and other cultural forces driving the news and business trends. FutureFirst subscribers can also request custom forecasts and pose specific questions to our professional Superforecasters. 

Superforecasters are less noisy — they don’t show the variability that the rest of us show. They’re very smart; but also, very importantly, they don’t think in terms of “yes” or “no” but in terms of probability. They break problems down to their component parts and don’t think holistically. —Cass Sunstein, Robert Walmsley University Professor at Harvard Law School and co-author of Noise.)

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Consistently More Accurate

Good Judgment Superforecasters have proven time and time again that they're the best in the business. An analysis of the Good Judgment Project forecasts by UC-Irvine decision scientist Mark Steyvers found that Superforecasters anticipated events 400 days in advance as accurately as regular forecasters predicted the same events 150 days ahead.

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